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Overpay is calculated 4 month old price ~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15083745 bought with a eerie orb fire gonzila (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15081784 ) - 1.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15932470 Bought his with a phos pugilist protector - 1.5 ( round up ) ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15592040 )
http://imgur.com/1Y9NcA5,sciteJz ( 1.9 buds as buds were 16 keys at that time thanks to Necroted )
Not totally certain, but it appears this one sold for 2 pure - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15134132
As a heads up, the gonzil would also really be ~1.6 after overpay based on original prices
And the pug sale would really be ~1 after overpay and is really an outlier.
Still close enough here and a much needed update