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The price is outdated. Proof is below. Tons of unsold at the current price, easy to find cheaper. People are willing to pay 4-4.25 keys, not more.
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8783631 - 5 keys, unsold, a lot of time (got offer of 4 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9476536 - 5 keys, unsold, 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9526251 - 5 keys, unsold, 2 days (without bumps)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9561750 - 5 keys, unsold, 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9555400 - 5 keys, unsold, 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9566194 - 5 keys, 20 hours, no takers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9570521 - 5 keys, 17 hours, no takers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9574278 - 5 keys, 14 hours, no takers (with a tanks destroyed)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9534029 - 4 keys, unsold, 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9530253 - 4 keys, unsold, 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9571019 - 4 keys, 16 hours, no takers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9577625 - 4 keys, 10 hours, no takers (without bumps)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9397909 - sold for 4.25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9400877 - sold for 4.25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9258595 - sold for 5 keys (with a robots destroyed and an ubercharged kills, basically ~ 4-4.25 keys just for a minigun)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9237639 - sold for 4.25 keys (with an airborne kills attached, basically ~ 3.8-4 keys just for a minigun)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8981006 - sold for 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9231631 - sold for 4 keys
looks very decent
I would say any trade under 24 hours should not be listed as proof - it's simply just not enough time to be considered proof in my book.
BUT - the proof you do have with trades over 24 hours old seems to lend support that these are not moving in the current range and that people are starting to price them to sell. Upvote