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old price , trying to update it .. almost every single trade is here :
Note: if i wrote c/o it'll mean the seller have no b/o price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7573288 13 ref : unsold - month ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8447189 7.66 ref : unsold - day ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8374792 8 ref : unsold - 4 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8464383 c/o : non - day ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7034499 4 keys : unsold - month ago : have offer 2 keys = 7 ref.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6147736 5 keys : unsold - 2 months ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4878729 4 months old : best offer month ago 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8275686 3 keys : unsold - week ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8395244 3 keys : unsold - 3 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6941550 5 keys : unsold - month ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6961598 5 keys : unsold - month ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6285979 3 keys : sold 2 - month ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8084201 5 keys : unsold - 2 weeks ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6570037 4 keys : unsold - 2 months ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8462674 12 ref : unsold - 3 hours ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8123596 4 keys : unsold - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8173016 3 keys : unsold - week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8395767 c/o 8 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8437223 8 ref : unsold day ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7613010 9.88 ref : best offer 6 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6343661 4 keys : unsold - month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8431070 best offer 2 ref : lawball 1 day ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7684895 3.2 keys : c/o white bill for all around 8 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8395319 c/o non : 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8416744 3 keys : unsold - no offers 2 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8406696 7.66 ref : unsold 3 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7018849 4 keys : unsold month ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8384620 re-trying for 3 keys : unsold - 3 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8337786 3.5 keys : no takers 6 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7791763 4 keys : no taker 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6559487 4 keys : no takers 2 months old
looks like all the offers has more than 2-3 weeks up to month ago , newdays no buyers for the current range.
buyers trades :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7794016 bought @ 6 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8075744 reject seller @ 7 ref , bought @ 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3959840 was buying @ 2 keys = 6.44 ref price of keys 3 months ago , currently not buying and everyone want to sell him
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8209987 offering 4 ref : fail
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8213006 bought @ 6 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8283930 smart but fail haha
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8184052 bought @ 6 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8394436 offered merc scraf , bought 6-6.33 ref
Summary
Sellers can't or hard to sell it more 7 ref , impossible to sell it for 8+
buyers success to buy it less than 6
both sellers/buyers agreed to buy/sell for just 6 ref .
Expecting new price 6 ref flat to be new value. Thanks.
Pretty buyer based. Again the lowest seller you found are those two in the classifieds for ~7 ref. Setting the price below the lowest seller isn't really fair again imo.
there is nothing sold @ 7 ref : 4-12 days ago ..
Since your buyers' listings are your only evidence of a 6 ref price, let's take a look at them:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7794016 has none in his backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8075744 only 1 bought in over 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3959840 bought his 3 months ago, what he paid 3 months ago is irrelevant to what these are worth today
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8209987 has none in his backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8213006 has none in his backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8283930 why is this even here?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8184052 only 1 bought in over a week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8394436 has none in his backpack
Conclusion: You have no solid evidence for a 6 refined price.
they haven't in them bp becuase they sold them to tf2wh , 1 week ago it was possible to sell it there , now its full stock .
also non sold for 7 ref week ago !
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Vintage%20Amputator
4.5$ - fees = 3.5$ = 1.6 keys = 5.77 ref : and unsold too
$4.5 - fees = $3.91
Not sure how you're converting it to keys(just buying keys for $2.30-2.50?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8475021 new trade selling for 6 ref
I think 6 - 7 refined would be better. Also it's kind of pointless showing multiple trades unable to sell for higher than the current range if you think the price is actually lower.
Appreciate your opinion, i wasted about 10 minutes of thinking about chose between 6-7 or 6 flat , then i decided to submit it 6 flat because i didn't found any one really sold for 7 those days and sold multiple times 4 ref -5 ref ..
also there is 2 for sale 7 - 7.5 at classifieds , both unsold 6 days ago
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/304/3/0
Well from my perspective there isn't enough v. amputators that go unsold for a long enough time in the 7 - 8 refined range to warrant a drop down to a flat 6. Even the guy in trade/8213006 thinks that 6 refined is a quicksell, and he's got plenty of refined left (and no v. amputators present in backpack). I've bought v. amputators for 2 keys fairly easily in the past, so I think a high-end of 7 refined would be a safer bet if you think the price needs a decrease.
My past buying trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8065013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7825606
that's 2+ weeks old , tell me if you able to sell them now for 2 keys now.
Even if I set up a trade selling for 2 keys and didn't sell it in the timeframe this suggestion remains open it wouldn't matter. Also the guy that was looking to sell his v. amputator in a few of your links seems to have sold it to this guy for 6.66 refined (or higher if the key option was taken): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7788383
some sold for 6.5 some sold for 4.5 , many sold for 6 :
i guess 5.5-6 good enough
'there isn't enough v. amputators that go unsold for a long enough time'
poor use of words in my perspectve
Holy shit the formatting :3
The lack of... :\
link 5 got an offer of 2 keys
wrote that already have offer 2 keys : month old
more proof of 6 ref offers or sellers?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8475021 there unsold for 6 ref .
fair enough
There are a lot of this useless weapon. How it got to four keys I'll never know.
I prefer the other suggestion here is why: Since you can no longer search shaded items on outpost, we can only rely on what offers are, not what sold.
We have no way of knowing what has been the past sales like we have known before.
http://www.tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=8984006 (SOLD - price was 3 keys)
http://www.tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9034686 (SOLD - price was 2.4 keys)
http://www.tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9100429 (SOLD - price was 8 refined)
http://www.tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9112530 (SOLD - price was 2 keys)
http://backpack.tf/market - 6.33 refined currently.
In this case, the 6-7 range would be better simply becuase we have no way of determining what it has been sold for like we were able to judge before outpost re-did the search feature.