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So I closed my previous suggestion because I forgot about SCM fees...... the results ended up being the same -_-
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[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25696051[/url] | Sold for 39 keys pure
History of Shako - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/2072844602[/url]
Bp of seller before - [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997116856?time=1429426800[/url]
After - [url]http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997116856?time=1429549111[/url]
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[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25806546[/url] | Sold for Miami War Pig(32) + Spec Aussie Tomislav(10) + Pink paint(1) + Green Paint(1) + a key
(32+10+1+1) x .9 = 39.6 --> ~40 + 1 = 41 keys
Shako - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/2072844602[/url]
War Pig - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/2663995902[/url]
Tomislav - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/3605691037[/url]
Single Key - [url]http://backpack.tf/item/3434059447[/url]
Paints : Green [url]http://backpack.tf/item/3343621609[/url]
Pink [url]http://backpack.tf/item/3570456344[/url]
10 most recent sales for the Spec Aussie Tomislav (scm)
$26.50
$25.87
$25.86
$33.74 - Outlier, not including
$25.91
$25.01
$26.17
$25.00
$25.70
$22.43
~228.45/9 = 25.38 --> ~25
25/2.4 = 10.41 --> ~10 keys
After fees: ~21.75 --> 22/2.4 = 9.16 --> ~9 keys
Tomislav = ~9.5 --> ~10 keys
Sales at 39 and 41. Pretty close together, so 39-41.