Price Suggestion
~3.06 ref
Strange Carbonado Botkiller Scattergun Mk.I
121 votes up
63 votes down
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Comments

This is my first suggestion. Any suggestions/comments/added proof will be gladly accepted.


Unsolds:

10 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25703640

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25689112

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25685796

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25687024

9.66 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25698601

9.5 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25716986

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25733232

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25718847

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25712760

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25122402

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25712760

9 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25731017

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25658554

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25670703

http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Carbonado%20Botkiller%20Scattergun%20Mk.I/Tradable/Craftable

8.88 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25657476

8.66 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25732274

http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Carbonado%20Botkiller%20Scattergun%20Mk.I/Tradable/Craftable

Outliers:

8 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25735466

Backpack.tf classified sellers also have many sellers at 9 ref, as well as a few at 8.66 and 8.88 (though there is a "lowballer" at 8, it doesn't fit the range)

Notice that there are many less unsolds between 8.66 and 9 refined, but there are many unsolds above this range.


There aren't many buyers for this, and they are all incredibly off from what is being sold by a minimum of 1.66 refined. But to prove that they aren't in the range, here goes:


Buyers:

7.33 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23291684

7 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24647362

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22667444

6.55 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25663062

6.11 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25380346

5.44 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25719820


Analysis: Because of the lack of sellers above 9 refined, the range should now have a high end of 9 refined. There are some sellers below 9 refined, usually between 9 refined and 8.66 refined. Buyers are much lower than any price being sold, the lowest seller being at 8 refined, whether on outpost or classifieds. The highest a buyer is willing to pay is 7.33 refined, which is clearly not within the range of that being sold. Because of this, sellers are most relevant to the range.

    2nd seller has 200+ botkillers

      Fixed it didn't notice that

      8.66 proof is weak, trade is pretty young.

        The trade is pretty young but it is also fairly lower than the previous range. There are also some people selling for 8.66 on the bp.tf classifieds

          Young means it is invalid, classifieds are support proof and can't be used for a low end.

            There are still buyers for much lower than 8.66 refined and some that are at 8.66; some are selling for even lower than 8.66, but because of this it should be in the range. This fits with what people are selling it for as well as lowers it to a price that some buyers may find reasonable.

              Your 8 ref seller is also unbumped, so again is invalid. Buyers are not relevant when lowering, except when proving outliers.

                The 8 ref seller is unbumped, but it is also a very young trade and, in comparison to the actual range, is a "lowballer," but because it is a "lowballer" it should have sold by now. I agree, buyers are pretty irrelevant, I screwed that up a bit. Its my first suggestion and there are bound to be mistakes, though the buyers are definitely outliers.