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Unusual Chieftain's Challenge Haunted Ghosts
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Counter-manipulation (Took me hours to make that one --')

27 in existence. 3 on market


Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25522580 36 keys - young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25512531 38 keys (36 on classifieds) - young


Histories found with recent sales

http://backpack.tf/item/225384159 4 sales the last 2 months

http://backpack.tf/item/574556036 7 sales the last 2 months

http://backpack.tf/item/462098141 1 sale the last 2 months


#1 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25174548

Sold for http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25176090 Miami Geezer + Spe KS Pan + Gold MKII RL (buds were 12)

(16.2 + 11.5)*0.9 = 25 keys


Lowest sellers of Spe KS Pan at 8 keys on classifieds, sales around 9 keys on SCM


#2 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25403800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124806816?time=1426575600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124806816?time=1426662000

Sold for Spe KS Aussie Medi-Gun + FS Crossbow -> (26 + 2.3)*0.9 = 25 keys


Mini on the Medi-gun -> lowest sellers of Spe KS at bp.tf price on classifieds -> 26 keys.


#3 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068508327?time=1425628800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068508327?time=1425715200

Sold with a Spe KS FS Amby + S. DCO for a Searing Thirst Blood -> x + 5 + 2.3 = 30 -> x = 23 keys low-end


Mini on the Thirst Blood ~ 30 keys :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25360829 3 buds pure (30 keys at the time)


#4 sale (credits to the [VDDS] O'Gee)

http://gyazo.com/5821fbe11209f1c1c997230d192753c8 duped Canonball + random craft hat for the Chief -> probably offered -> overpay


Canonball: http://backpack.tf/item/3627584470

Chief: http://backpack.tf/item/225384159


27*0.9 = 24 keys


Duped Canonball's mini ~ 24 keys :

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107565749?time=1427439600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107565749?time=1427526000

Sold for duped Smoking Pencil + duped NnB Hoodie -> 27 keys (will avoid the double overpay)

Clean unsold supporting the price :

Unsold during 2 months at 2.5 buds (27 keys at the time) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24802171


#5 sale (credits to the [VDDS] O'Gee)

http://prntscr.com/6mqy4g Chief + 7 keys of sweets for a Heart Fro (outdated). Chief more likely offered -> no overpay.


Fro: http://backpack.tf/item/3564294484

Chief: http://backpack.tf/item/574556036


x + 0.7 = 3.4 -> x = 2.7 buds = 26 keys at the time


Fro's mini ~ 3.4 buds :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25208812 Offer of a level 1 Max (can't trace the sale, the Max could have been put directly on SCM after the trade) = 3 buds at the time

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25190424 Offered on a Scorching Stuntman 3.8 buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055544256?time=1425970800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055544256?time=1426057200 Sold with a GE Milkman for a PE Swagman (outlier)


#6 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156002776?time=1424592000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156002776?time=1424678400

Sold for a Phantasm Bicorne 3 buds after overpay = 36 keys at the time high-end


#7 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064745482?time=1424419200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064745482?time=1424505600

Sold for 33 pure keys


#8 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055444957?time=1423123200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055444957?time=1423382400

Sold with 12 keys for a Phantasm Honcho outlier


#9 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055444957?time=1422950400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055444957?time=1423123200

Level 1 Max (3*12.5 keys at the time) sold for Chief + 15 keys -> x = 37.5-15 = 23 keys low-end


#10 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054804873?time=1427266800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054804873?time=1427353200

Sale is unclear, 3 people are involved between the 2 days, Searing Mining Light (outdated) + duped Tiger Flippin + Frostbite Robo-Drill are involved in the sale


Conclusion : Quite a wide range but the pure sale at 33 keys 1 month ago is showing that the 36 keys one isn't an outlier.

Making a range of 23-36 keys


Any comments are welcome.