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Classifieds:
https://i.imgur.com/I6nm4w2.png
https://i.imgur.com/HSESUx9.png
https://i.imgur.com/VjgFcBB.png
There are constantly 5 on sfuminator for 1.66 ref:
https://i.imgur.com/JyQ17Mt.png
Unsolds:
1.77 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25457171 - 6 days
1.66 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25321112 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25401940 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25455600 - 6 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25464796 - 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25441247 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25418540 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25467796 - 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25363430 - 2 weeks
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1244359 - 1 week
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1250754 - 5 days
Buyers:
1.33 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25328916
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25506444
The 1.33 buyers disprove your suggested value.
Is "Random Craft Hat" 1.22 ref?
Indeed it is.