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Resubmitted to include 2 Buds that were missed on Sale 2. Thanks to ♥Prof. Snugglecube™♥ for the help finding it!
2 hats in existence, one of which is gifted. But, the one that isn't has plenty of sales to establish a range.
Here is my proof:
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Sale 1
Amaranthine Galvanized Gibus traded 1:1 with a Morning Glory Bonk Boy (~19.4 Buds)
Total = 19.4 * .9 (Overpay)= 17.46, rounded to 17.5 Buds
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043584364?time=1419062400
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043584364?time=1419321600
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Sale 2
Amaranthine Galvanized Gibus was traded for a Stormy Storm Stately Steel Toe (1.04 Buds), a The Ooze Aviator Assassin (12.8 Buds), and 2 Pure Buds.
Total = 12.8 + 1.04 = 13.83 Buds. 13.83 Buds * .9 (Overpay) = 12.447, rounded to 12.5 Buds + 2 Pure = 14.5 Buds.
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058178808?time=1417766400
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058178808?time=1417852800
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Sale 3
(Outlier)
Amaranthine Galvanized Gibus traded for a Sunbeams Ye Olde Baker Boy (8 Buds) and a Miami Nights Grimm Hatte (2.65 Buds)
Total = (8 Buds) + (2.65 Buds) = 10.65 Buds. 10.65 * .9 (Overpay) = 9.589 Buds, rounded to 9.6 Buds.
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099577164?time=1416902400
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099577164?time=1417248000
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Mini Information
Morning Glory Bonk Boy:
This recent sale was a big exchange. The Morning Glory Bonk Boy, along with a Sunbeams Whoopie (5.1 Buds) and a Holy Grail Flippin Awesome (6.2 Buds) were traded for a Cloudy Moon El Jefe (18.5 Buds), a Cloud 9 Virtual Viewfinder (11.2 Buds), and a Smoking Pom-Pommed (No price, but probably close to a bud. Recent offer on OP for 12 keys was declined, wanting just a little more.)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050729672?time=1422777600
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050729672?time=1422950400
Total = X + 5.1 + 6.2 = 18.5 + 11.2 + ~1 =
X + 11.3 = 30.7
X = ~19.4
This price is fitting, as most current B/Os for the Morning Glory Bonk Boy are 20+.
Stormy Storm Stately Steel Toe:
Two current sales on OP, one being a quicksale. One B/O is for only 10 keys, the other is for 12. I think this is sufficient to keep the range of one bud. If more info is needed, I will try and find a sale.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24866372
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25183835
Miami Nights Grimm Hatte
Part of a recent deal. 4 Pure (1 Bud and 36 Keys), Aces High Brigade Helm (1.5 Buds), and a Stormy Storm Bullet Buzz (1 Bud) for a Miami Nights Grimm Hatte (Unpriced) and a Stormy Storm Blighted Beak (3.85).
Total = (4) + (1.5) + (1) = X + 3.85
6.5 - 3.85 = 2.65 Buds
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025511599?time=1420444800
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025511599?time=1420531200
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Once again, if an error has been made in my calculations, kindly let me know and I can fix and resubmit the price suggestion. Thanks a ton you guys!
Lol, no problem on the GIbus sale, remember to 'Sort by time' just in case!
Sort By Time.
Good to know that's a thing!
:D
Wasn't 1:1 with the bonk. A buds was added. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043584364?time=1419321600. Anyways, the bonk has been formally priced now at 15.5-20. So that sale is now ~17. Close enough to what you have.
You're also missing items in the second sale. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058178808?time=1417852800. So that would be closer to 14.
Eh.... Close enough for me.