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If you have any constructive criticism, support, or counter-proof, let me know below!
Sold at 4 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24879913 (sold 1, still has 1 in bp, 2 weeks old)
Unsolds at 4.7 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25036428 - 4 keys 10 ref w/ custom name (2 days old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25029046 (2 days old)
Unsold at 4.8 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24923430 - 4 keys 12 ref w/ KS & custom name (1 week old)
Unsolds at 5 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25010329 - “upper end of bp.tf pricing” (4 days old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25004155 (5 days old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24869090 - “bp.tf price” w/ custom name (2 weeks old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24916305 - w/ KS, spell, and custom desc. (1 week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24812509 (2 weeks old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24969912 - “bp.tf prices” (1 week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24945739 - w/ part, spell, and custom name & desc. (1 week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24379969 - “whatever bp.tf says” (none sold in past 2 weeks, 9 in stock)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25023571 - w/ KS, part, and custom name & desc. (3 days old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24236072 - “bp.tf price” (1 month old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24671306 (4 weeks old)
5 keys clearly does not sell, even with KS, parts, and/or custom names/descriptions. The 4 key seller has also been up for over 2 weeks without being sold yet, so it's pretty safe to lower this down to 4 keys.
Seller at 4 keys sold, check histories, but it looks like they have more in their BP.
Hmm...that's odd. It seems that he had 2 clean ones before the trade (on 1/26), and that he sold 1, but still has 1 clean one in his bp. Unfortunately, there's a gap in his backpack history, so i can't exactly determine when he sold that first one.
As long as they're still selling one it's fine. :3 I feel a conservative drop would be better. 4 keys probably doesn't belong in the range. There are several buyers at 4 keys or more.
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22838914 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21662540 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14930636 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19106681 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24924488 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24350483 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24677929 4 keys + 1 ref
I could go on... 4.7-5 keys seems better.
Ah, I did not notice that. 4 keys doesn't fit in the range then. Though I do feel that a flat 4.7 keys might be better.