Price Suggestion
Amaranthine War Pig
Submitted by Mimikyutie
~700 keys
amaranthine
Unusual War Pig Amaranthine
28 votes up
11 votes down
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Comments

Price resubmission to fix the range on a few of the sales, as corrected by polar in the comments of the previous suggestion:


"Some of the sales are off here. Impaler is closer to 8-9, not 15-17

- The second sale on the impaler was impaler + 8 keys for eerie anger + 1 ghosts belt. He got the other ghosts belt for buds + that vivid sam

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040189013?time=1416124800 - impaler sold for ~9

- You are missing about 7 buds added for the beams anger in your first sale: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035077222?time=1416211200, which would put the impaler at 8 (no overpay since offered)


With the impaler at 8-9, your sale at 21 is closer to 15.5 (I think it was 3.5 pure and not 3 pure)


Range here will be closer to 15-20 instead of 18-21"


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Okay guys, this hat is 1-of-1 in existence, to which I am the current owner with no intentions of ever reselling. If any of my calculations are in error, please let me know and I will fix as soon as possible.


Here is my proof:


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Sale 1 (My Purchase)

Searing Plasma Trophy Belt (2.4 Buds) + Miami Nights War Pig (4 Buds) + Morning Glory Master’s Yellow Belt (14.6 Buds) + Strange Construction PDA (.6 Buds) + Strange Festive Wrangler (.15 Buds)


Total = 21.8 * .9 (overpay) = 19.58, Rounded up to 20 for neatness.


http://i.imgur.com/aQuICsd.png


Mini on Yellow Belt:

Sold for a Smoking Master’s Yellow Belt (1.75), Burning Sola Topi (3), Ooze Toy Soldier (3.3), Flies Ushanka (1 Bud), and an Anti-Freeze Larrikin (5.5)


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038?time=1420704000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038?time=1420876800


Mini on the Larrikin Robin:

Sold for 4 pure buds and 33 pure keys. (5.5 Buds, as Buds were 22 keys at the time of sale.)

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083434588?time=1401951600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083434588?time=1402038000


Hat is 1-of-1. This is the most recent sale besides the one in the OP.


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Sale 2

Sunbeams Bombing Run (2.65 Buds) + Purple Energy Screeamin’ Eagle (~14 Buds) + 3 Pure


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24164120


Total = 16.65 * .9 (overpay) = 14.98, plus 3 Pure = 17.98 Buds, rounded to 18 for Neatness.


Mini on Purple Energy Screamin’ Eagle:

Sold for a Dead Presidents Towering Pillar of Hats (4.5 Buds) + Orb. Fire Dread Knot (.7 Buds) + Cloudy Moon Officer’s Ushanka (7.5 Buds) + Smoking Little Buddy (1 Bud) + ~5 Keys Sweets (.35 Buds) = ~14 Buds


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048188762?time=1420531200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048188762?time=1420617600


Mini on the Towering Pillar (Outdated Price):

Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Dragonborn Helm (4-5)


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049283784?time=1419667200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049283784?time=1420012800


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Sale 3

Ghastly Ghosts Jr. Impaler (~8-9, Average at 8.5) + Vivid Samur-Eye (4 Buds) + 3.5 Pure


Total = 12.5 * .9 (overpay) = 17.91, plus 3.5 pure = 14.75, Rounded up to 15 for neatness.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23671091


Double Mini on Ghastly Ghosts Jr. Impaler:

1. Sold with Australium Sniper Rifle (4.2 Buds) + S.F. Sniper Rifle (1.6 Buds) + ~22-23 Keys in Sweets for Sunbeams Anger (15.08 Buds). Prices the Impaler in the 8-9 range.

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083694664?time=1416124800

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083694664?time=1416297600


2. Sold with 8 keys for Haunted Ghosts Yellow Belts (6 Buds) and an Orb. Eerie Fire Anger (4.75) = (Minus 8 keys) - 10.75 * .9 (Overpay) = ~9-9.5

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040189013?time=1416124800

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040189013?time=1416038400


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Additional Supporting Proof


A few more points to note. A few of the hats in the offers have outdated suggestions.


Found a recent sale in which a Cloudy Moon Ushanka was traded 1:1 for a 1-of-2 Frostbite Company Man. That's quite the 1:1 trade. Obviously it doesn't help all that much in this situation, since the Company Man does not have a price, but something tells me that hat will probably be worth >8 Buds.


Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058279723?time=1420704000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058279723?time=1420704000


I'll keep digging for more proof on the Ushanka and post more data in the comments as it arises. Nothing indicates to me that this hat has dropped, but if the data shows otherwise, it will be changed.


Also, on the Haunted Ghosts Yellow Belt:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24420774

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24456508


Two different Haunted Yellow Belts, but both sales share something in common: A user has offered a GE Attendant as a 1:1 for both hats, and on both offers is pending approval. The GE Attendant is currently priced at 6.73 buds, or 6.03 after overpay is applied. Should one of them sell for that, or even if the offerer adds in a bit more, it would solidify the price.


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Once again, if an error has been made in my calculations, kindly let me know and I can fix and resubmit the price suggestion. Thanks a ton you guys!

    One thing I forgot to check was the morning glory yellow belt. A mini based on a single sale probably won't be enough unless there are literally no other usable sales. If you or someone else is willing to find a few more sales, that's the last uncertainty in this suggestion.


    btw, if you want to, the impaler is probably priceable based on the two sales we have.