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Submitted by Engi
~14.72 ref
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182 votes up
128 votes down
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Comments

I was going to be conservative with this, but the quicksales tho...


Quick Solds at 4 Refined (All are quickly sold or poorly bumped.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24073617 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24071001 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24070904 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24068432 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24067657 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24065802 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24062665 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24062446 - 4 Refined.

http://bazaar.tf/trade/1141000 ----------------- 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24057059 - ] Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24048667 - 4 Refined.

http://i.gyazo.com/41859100b309ba0926a7bf8a9e76af52.png - 4 Refined. (x2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24046912 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24045730 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24044187 - 4 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24041021 - 4 Refined.


Current Solds Between 4.33 and 5 Refined. (Sales are either questionably young or old enough.)

http://i.gyazo.com/b1e891e91f542b2d805419220be45208.png - 4.33 Refined.

http://i.gyazo.com/098b41db6dff9904d720230b68522c3d.png - 4.33 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24046245 - 4.33 Refined.

http://bazaar.tf/trade/1141280 ---------------- 4.33 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24041688 - 4.33 Refined.

http://i.gyazo.com/4e8da1374f9314cfc29044948e1551e5.png - 4.33 Refined.

http://i.gyazo.com/cc6147a6df5db7c2aa2174dbd612878c.png - 4.55 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24057739 - 4.66 Refined.

http://i.gyazo.com/6c5383c902c27aabcc3aec3269d88d0d.png - 4.66 Refined.

http://i.gyazo.com/b002b28156cd5780872d60a630ad0c71.png - 5 Refined. (x2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24054957 - 5 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24024990 - 5 Refined. (Selling 1 More.)


Current Sellers (Excluding any 5+ Refined Sellers, due to obvious reasons.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24070148 - 4 Refined. (Poorly Bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24076785 - 4 Refined. (Very Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24077066 - 4 Refined. (Very Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24076874 - 4.33 Refined. (Very Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19852019 - 4.33 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24014303 - 4.66 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24071579 - 4.66 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24041499 - 5 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23979966 - 5 Refined. (Reseller)


Current Classified (12:30 PM Eastern U.S as of this post.)

4 Ref x 1

4.66 x 10

5 Ref x ~10

5.33 x 3


Bot / Shop Sellers (Not including 5+ Refined Sellers, due to obvious reasons.)

http://gyazo.com/5f768282f6e5618c99da9886c0dba9e3 - Buying for 4.33 Refined. Selling for 4.66 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24046813 - Buy for 3.66. Sell for 4.33.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23806656 - Sell for 4.66 Refined. (Sold quite a few.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24076417 - Sell for 4.88 Refined.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23772539 - Buying for 4.44. Selling for 4.66.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22516794 - Buying for 4.22. Selling for 4.33.


Conclusion

I was originally going to do a 4~4.33 range; however, I'm noticing quite a bit of a normality heading towards 4.33 to 4.66 now. The 4 refined sells are complete quick sales. I'm also noticing bot or buy/sell shops are also selling above the price too, which is another reason for the price increase.


Edit: Cleaned up the proof. Been at school at morning and had no sleep, so I apologize for the sloppiness. :c

    Remove sales at and below 4, theyre all quicksells

    4.66 flat seems better, because there are more sellers at 4.66 than 4.33, and 4.33 seems to quicksell

    Neutral for now

      They're some sellers still available for 4.33 to still hold the 4.33 price stable for now. I do understand your concern, tho.

      I prefer some conservative numbers for the moment and I'm only showing the 4 refined numbers to show that most sell very quick.

      As long they're still quick sellers at 4 refined, the 4.33 can still be open.

    legit UPBOAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!