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I'll stick to lower prices for now-
Unsolds at 3 refined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21532381 - 3 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23193706 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23285976 - About a week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23281184 - A week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23359712 - (backpack.tf price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23415509 - (backpack.tf price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23002768 - 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23015687 - 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23205501 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23236529 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23124875 - 2 weeks (backpack.tf price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23333452 - 1 week (backpack.tf price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23283643 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23294145 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23432309
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23405671
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23434880
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23418651
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23451605 Semi Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23466540 - 15 Hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23466304 - 16 Hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23460752 Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23473900 Young
It's semi organized ok?
Unsolds Below 3 refined
New------ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317774 2.33 but it doesn't looked bumped....
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22457566 - 2.66 Over a month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23474111 - 2.66 Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23451513 - 2.66 Day old... apparently quickselling
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23417299 - 2.88 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23341913 - 2.88 6 days
Conclusion? Price drop must happen, Though I'll keep the three in due to so many sellers on the market.
"New------ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317774 2.33 but it doesn't looked bumped...."
"http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23341913 - 2.88 6 days"
neither are in bp anymore
If you're keeping 3 in the range, then unsolds at 3 is basically countering yourself.
So should I resuggest?
What you've got is okay. There's not enough proof to drop down to 2.66 flat. Having those unsolds at 3 shows this needs a drop, I don't see a problem here.
I don't think there's enough sellers below 3 ref in your proof, considering outpost has ~18 pages
I'll say a few things,
1. I did not include any painted Cut Throat's, so that leaves about 10 pages.
2. I went for the first 6 pages, because of unbumped trades.
3. I did not include any special level/ craft number/ set sellers.
But yeah, this ones kinda weird, alot of the cut throats are painted. And there was a number of 2.66-2.88 sellers, all of which sold within a couple of bumps
I'll stick with my guns on this, There are plenty of unsolds at 3, yet there are solds at 3.
I'm starting to wonder if all the suggestions I do will go wrong in some way...
well, to be fair, you technically never wanted to remove 3 ref from the range.
Sales @ 3 ref, to sorta, kinda counter your suggestion
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23469481
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23478537
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23467496
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23462682 2X
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23459961
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23459744
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23458428
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23454731
I don't have proof these sold for their listed values, but it's pretty safe to assume
Your http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22457566 2.66 sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23478537 sold for 3 ref in less than 4 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23472973 sold for 2.77 without a bump