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6 months outdated. One of the first unusuals I ever sold, it was worth nearly 6 back then.
Currently on outpost, quickselling for 51 keys (3 buds).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22526314
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2931311049,825,5
this sold for a bubbling tc
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2941501415,378,5
~3
2. and he bought it for a tf logo noir (1.2, outdated, mini at 1.5) + pro carbonado botkiller flamethrower (12 keys, 0.7 see below) + steaming wraith wrap (1.9, outdated, mini at 1.4) + uncraft 2011 skull + vintage SnS, (0.3). totals ~3.6 after overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2928628339,576,6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2915226763,178,3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2920864761,319,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2927688846,937,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2928105000,905,11
noir mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19946194
offered 1 bud + 6 keys (1.3) also offered 27 keys (1.6), i'll use 1.5 since there seems to be a group of offers that reach around that area.
flamethrower:
only trackable sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22304463
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22428164
for a big kill, 12 keys. taking this as the price, there is one on outpost asking 14, 0 on SCM.
wraith:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22255178
added 1 key for searing slouch, puts the wraith at ~1.4 (no overpay since it was offered)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22333506
quicksold for 24 keys, buds were 19 at the time so ~1.3
really not seeing a lot of trackable sales for this hat, 1.4 seems a conservative estimate of its value.
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/373964
this user bought theirs for a gifted planets tc, mini at 3.3, so ~3 after overpay.
TC mini:
They bought for an orb fire brown bomber (~2.2 after overpay), however the tc had offers on the previous trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22045300
of 57 keys pure (3) as well as a c9 connosseurs cap + c bubbles baker boy (around 5 roughly, though the cap is outdated).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22671476
here, a bud was added for a vivid tossle + sweets (2 bread boxes and 8.33 in metal), this sale is worth ~3.6 after overpay
the bomber sale is a clear outlier in my opinion, so my mini suggestion range for the TC will be 3-3.6 based on the pure offer and sale.
looks pretty complicated and took quite a lot of time to get right. any more info is appreciated. surprised at how large the drop was, but the sales don't lie.