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Offered on (and sold for) Stormy Storm Tough Stuff Muffs (~5.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19933603
Sold for Sunbeams Hermes (~5.4) and ~2 keys in sweets = ~5.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21053224 (CK)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21246981 (Hermes)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21487045 - 5 bud B/O, 1 day old right now
Another sale here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21056687
Took them a day to sell at 4 buds + 13 keys so while it might not be terribly far off (~4.7) I'm going to stick with this range and mark that one as a quicksell since I have that 5.3 sale as well.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072503827?time=1404802800 (Day trade opened, has CK)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072503827?time=1404889200 (The day after, no CK)