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Cooler keys are going down!
Blame me for the previous accepted suggestion overpricing them.
Selling/Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12988219
19 for a bud (1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12980199
Key + 2 ref each (1.3) 19 for buds (1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13021071
Key + 1 ref (1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12829827
7 for a Bill's Hat, bought a TS one (1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12949401
Key + 1 ref (1.2) sold out of green, brown and blue.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12911798
Key + 1.33 (1.2) sold out of all except aqua, brown and black.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12992565
Key + 1 ref (1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13049089
Key + 1 ref (1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12956446
Key + 1.33 (1.2) out of stock of green and brown.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13006111
Key + 2 ref (1.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13001618
Key + 1 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12579400
Key + 2 ref (1.3)
Very few sellers at 1.5, many willing @ 1.3 and lower.
All buyers do 1:1s, with few exceptions. Some have bought, others have not.
Community Market
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Blue%20Summer%202013%20Cooler%20Key ~$2.22
Keys are back @ $2.20 now ( http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key )
So the averages of the cooler keys being on par with them now show that cooler key=crate key on the market.
Hype is decreasing, items in the coolers are going down in value, not much incentive to open them anymore. Sellers lower their prices, and 1 key is more commonly seen. 1.3 is still possible, so that's still in the upper range.