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Love the Rednecks.
http://backpack.tf/item/1794722505
Sale 1) Sold for 15 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241107714#!/compare/1492560000/1492646400
http://backpack.tf/item/3199375951
Sale 2) Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Jannissary Ketche (13 Keys) + 1 Key
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
13 + 1 = 14 Keys
Ketche Mini
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/59263ac5c4404560c55908ee - 13 Keys
Sale 3) Sold for a Green Confetti Thirst Blood
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273579483#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28902349 - Capped by the Buyout of 15.45 Keys
Rounding to 15 Keys
Sale 4) Sold + ~4 Keys of Items for a Blizzardy Storm Conjurer's Cowl (16 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116572221#!/compare/1494028800/1494115200 - Seller's Backpack
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070383158#!/compare/1493942400/1494115200 - Buyer's Backpack
Low Outlier.
Cowl Mini
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/592623e70e2cad1ad02d28e7 - 16 Keys
Sale 5) Quicksold for 13 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070383158#!/compare/1494115200/1494201600
Pink paint added in sale #1: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140988055#!/compare/1492560000/1492646400
And sale #2 was Ketche + 3 keys:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273579483#!/compare/1493337600/1493510400 - Both of the keys seen here, plus the third from the seller's side compare
15-16 will work here.