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Molten Mallard Brotherhood of Arms
New price: 100-115 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = 112 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054517262#!/compare/1494892800/1494979200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29176488 - B/O 150 keys
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Villain’s Veil (62) + Morning Glory Hot Dogger (50) = 112 keys.
SALE #2 = 104 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054517262#!/compare/1493510400/1493856000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079404789#!/compare/1493769600/1493856000
Sold for multiple hats (102 keys) + 2 keys = 104 keys
Haunted Ghosts Napper’s Respite -> 31 keys
31 keys
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5922ea46e338776e0f40bb02
Flaming Lantern Western Wear -> 28 keys
28 keys (open suggestion)
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5922ea49e338776ea15751b7
Smoking Le Party Phantom -> 20 keys
20 keys.
Indate at 20-23 keys but I am going to take the low end here due to 2 young sellers at 19 keys and multiple matured sellers at 20 keys -> http://i.imgur.com/9NRg0xG.png
Disco Beat Down Tartan Spartan -> 23 keys
23 keys (open suggestion)
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5922ea4be33877702c656e75
SALE #3 = 109 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1493769600/1493856000
Sold for a Power Surge Bubble Pipe (30) + Infernal Flames Taunt: Schadenfreude (69) = 109 keys. The Bubble Pipe is indate but has a young seller below it’s price. Will still fit within the range either way.
SALE #4 = invalid
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037360212#!/compare/1491091200/1491264000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198037360212 - no B/O
Looks very high. The Honcho is updated at 50 keys. The Carouser is going to be around 12 and the Mallard Private Eye is estimated at 45 keys. + 16 keys. This is going to be 125+ with really fair estimates. The BoA has sellers at 100 keys + 120 keys (http://i.imgur.com/Fs6VEgP.png ) and I feel like those sellers exclude a sale that’s possibly higher than 125 keys.
SUMMARY
Sales: 104 / 109 / 112 keys
Sellers: 100 / 120 keys (http://i.imgur.com/Fs6VEgP.png )
Going to round things off and go with a range of 100-115 keys which should cover up the sales and also the seller at 100 keys. Going with 100-115 keys.
110 is closer to 112 than 115, how did you round to 115? nearest 5 is 110 and nearest 10 is still 110
Remember to check both compare links in every sale.
The Blizzardy Veil is duped and a Spec.Ks. Aussie Grenade Launcher was added in sale 1. Should be ~120 anyways:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260119454#!/compare/1494892800/1494979200
http://backpack.tf/item/5688453167
Sale 2 happened in like 3 hours for downgrades, could be a quicksale.
These taunts also match in sale 3, and put this sale at ~135. Still, this is a taunt sale:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079404789#!/compare/1493769600/1493856000
http://backpack.tf/item/2946419320
http://backpack.tf/item/5209265317
Sale 4 is ~120 as well if we take the Private Eye somewhere around current price.
Another recent sale: D@D Wet Works (mini at ~55) + TF Logo Dayjogger (30) + 5 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260119454#!/compare/1495238400/1495411200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1495324800/1495411200
Wet Works sold for ~55 here:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192724562#!/compare/1489622400/1489708800
So in summary we have sales for: 90, 104, ~120, ~120, ~135. After talking with a few mods, you should resuggest to 90-120. We can pretty much ignore the taunt sale, because it's a taunt sale and is countered by previous B/Os. The (panic)sellers for 100 are supporting the low-end.