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Requested by Uro.
These things have infinite demand.
5 recent sales, was just updated.
Sale 1:
https://marketplace.tf/items/993;5;u76/Poisoned%20Shadows%20Antlers
Sold for $2750 USD over Marketplace.tf.
Keys are currently ~$2.04, so this sale is ~1348 keys.
1348 total rounding to 1350.
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027529544#!/compare/1488067200/1488153600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1486771200/1488153600
Sold with ~1 trillion keys worth of other dope items for a Pan.
Dumb low outlier and bulky. Not using.
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1486771200/1488153600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1488067200/1488153600
Sold for $1800 USD in 2 hours.
Taking keys at $1.8 USD each.
1000 keys total.
Quicksell, excluding. I offered 1100 keys pure on 2 other examples of these Antlers and was turned down both times (Silencio & Benevolence). This proves 1000 to be pretty low as well.
Sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197983558864#!/compare/1492300800/1492473600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1492387200/1492473600
Fits within the range. Also likely caps at Africandruglord's buyout of 1800.
Definitely supports the raise.
Sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677#!/compare/1492128000/1492387200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1492300800/1492387200
http://imgur.com/a/ob0FL
Sold for a Nebula Phononaut(255), Scorching Brown Bomber(455), Anti-Freeze Bonk Boy(520), a G. Fetti Beak(45), Phantasm Hazmattenhatten(120), C. Bubbles Belt(105), and 400 keys pure.
1900 total.
Nebula Phononaut mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093585253#!/compare/1490572800/1490745600
Sold for a GE Executioner(175), a Pro. KS Aussie Minigun(27), a KS Aussie Wrench(19), a Pro. KS Aussie Flame Thrower(23), annd 10 keys pure.
254 total rounding to 255.
Calling it 255.
Scorching Brown Bomber mini:
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58f7f2d80e2cad733e611e92
455 total.
All credits to Fish-Related Crimes S> 54 unus.
Anti-Freeze Bonk Boy mini:
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58fb6cf3c440453b4a4ab92f
520 total.
All credits to Sunjar.
G. Fetti Beak mini:
http://imgur.com/a/M0DXy
1x 12 day unsold at 45.
1x 10 day unsold at 45.
1x 2 month unsold at 50.
Multiple sellers for more.
Calling it 45.
C. Bubbles Belt mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005993785#!/compare/1484092800/1488758400
Sold for a Tesla HWNN(80), 20 keys pure, and ~6 keys sweets.
106 total rounding to 105.
Calling it 105.
Tesla HWNN micro:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061464918#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000
Sold for a Miami Runner(~36), Steaming HWNN(26), Smoking Strontium(12), and a Spec. KS Aussie Blutsauger(7).
81 total rounding to 80.
Calling it 80.
Rolling with 1350-1900.
That pan sale was stupid.
First of all, thanks SpotLight for your time creating this suggestion.
Now let's see, there are 5 recent sales
Sale 1 : 1350 keys (money) -> Valid
Sale 2 : -> Outlier af
Sale 3 : 1800 USD, sold in less than 2 hours, yes 2 hours. -> Outlier
Sale 4 : Total value of the trade, easy 1800 but capped at the B/O. -> Valid
Sale 5 (mine) : 1900 mixed. -> Valid
Valable sales for the suggestion are sale 1, 4 and 5 -> 1350, 1800, 1900.
That's why SpotLight suggested 1350 - 1900 keys.
Also those antlers were sold in less than a week and none of them will hit the market anytime soon.
I think 1900 is an outlier here. http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58f25bcd0e2cad57cb3ed272 supports current, if not lower. 2 low sales far closer to 1350 than 1900. Thats 4 sales at or below current, not even including that supportive sale from the last suggestion.
Im also not sure about druglords sale; multiple items are back-and-forth there
http://backpack.tf/item/1976021734
http://backpack.tf/item/1759765762
http://backpack.tf/item/444930714
The view, a very prominent part of that sale, is unminiable. Didnt check the rest, but that's going to be an issue here if you were to use that sale. I dont think this is better than current personally
AfricanDrugLord sold for this:
C. Heart lucha + C. Heart pencil + C. Heart Rack + C. Heart Viewfinder + C. Heart Sensei + C. Heart Phantom + C. Heart Mancer + C. Heart Boxcar Bomber + C. Heart Tyrannus (slug) + FoD Square Dance + FoD Flippin + Cloud 9 Polar Pullover
Peterzee confirmed this sale, I added him and he sent me the screenshot of the trade:
http://prnt.sc/eyp807
This is far closer to 1900.
Both of those antlers, are sold in less than 1 week by the way.
This definetly need a raise, 1350 it's not accurate anymore. None of them are for sell at the moment. Those two last sales, (mine and peterzee) are around ~ 1900.
Could it be 1800 - 1950? Feels like 1350 is a low outlier. Idk i could be wrong.
I think a wider range such as this is better. There are sales that support the lower value of 1350ish but also 2-3 sales that support the 1900 value.
The dream :p
Just going by current b/os, sale 4 is going to be ~1050 + the hearts view. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28672989 - andrew had the view for a year at a b/o of 650. So let's be real here, the sale value there is probably no more than 1600-1700 or so.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197983558864#!/compare/1492300800/1492473600 - and I'm even counting the bomber at 165 which may also very well be too high. Almost every single hat / misc there is severely inflated, including the hearts mancer, hearts pusher and especially the taunts.
That sale falls right in the middle of the range, so it's not a huge deal. The important sale is going to be the 1900 key one.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677#!/compare/1492128000/1492387200
Bomber will actually be a bit low, bonk and phononaut will be slightly high. It should still comfortably be ~1800-1900. On a hat of this tier, our minis / estimates aren't even good enough to distinguish that "small" difference in value. It's honestly good enough for me here.
Sales at 1350 (pure), 1600, 1850. Full range is totally reasonable.