Price Suggestion
~13000 keys
shadow
Unusual Antlers Poisoned Shadows
24 votes up
4 votes down
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Requested by Uro.

These things have infinite demand.

5 recent sales, was just updated.


Sale 1:

https://marketplace.tf/items/993;5;u76/Poisoned%20Shadows%20Antlers

Sold for $2750 USD over Marketplace.tf.

Keys are currently ~$2.04, so this sale is ~1348 keys.

1348 total rounding to 1350.


Sale 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027529544#!/compare/1488067200/1488153600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1486771200/1488153600

Sold with ~1 trillion keys worth of other dope items for a Pan.

Dumb low outlier and bulky. Not using.


Sale 3:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1486771200/1488153600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1488067200/1488153600

Sold for $1800 USD in 2 hours.

Taking keys at $1.8 USD each.

1000 keys total.

Quicksell, excluding. I offered 1100 keys pure on 2 other examples of these Antlers and was turned down both times (Silencio & Benevolence). This proves 1000 to be pretty low as well.


Sale 4:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197983558864#!/compare/1492300800/1492473600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1492387200/1492473600

Fits within the range. Also likely caps at Africandruglord's buyout of 1800.

Definitely supports the raise.


Sale 5:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677#!/compare/1492128000/1492387200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1492300800/1492387200

http://imgur.com/a/ob0FL

Sold for a Nebula Phononaut(255), Scorching Brown Bomber(455), Anti-Freeze Bonk Boy(520), a G. Fetti Beak(45), Phantasm Hazmattenhatten(120), C. Bubbles Belt(105), and 400 keys pure.

1900 total.


Nebula Phononaut mini:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093585253#!/compare/1490572800/1490745600

Sold for a GE Executioner(175), a Pro. KS Aussie Minigun(27), a KS Aussie Wrench(19), a Pro. KS Aussie Flame Thrower(23), annd 10 keys pure.

254 total rounding to 255.


Calling it 255.


Scorching Brown Bomber mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58f7f2d80e2cad733e611e92

455 total.

All credits to Fish-Related Crimes S> 54 unus.


Anti-Freeze Bonk Boy mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58fb6cf3c440453b4a4ab92f

520 total.

All credits to Sunjar.


G. Fetti Beak mini:

http://imgur.com/a/M0DXy

1x 12 day unsold at 45.

1x 10 day unsold at 45.

1x 2 month unsold at 50.

Multiple sellers for more.


Calling it 45.


C. Bubbles Belt mini:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005993785#!/compare/1484092800/1488758400

Sold for a Tesla HWNN(80), 20 keys pure, and ~6 keys sweets.

106 total rounding to 105.


Calling it 105.


Tesla HWNN micro:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061464918#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000

Sold for a Miami Runner(~36), Steaming HWNN(26), Smoking Strontium(12), and a Spec. KS Aussie Blutsauger(7).

81 total rounding to 80.


Calling it 80.


Rolling with 1350-1900.

    That pan sale was stupid.

      First of all, thanks SpotLight for your time creating this suggestion.


      Now let's see, there are 5 recent sales


      Sale 1 : 1350 keys (money) -> Valid

      Sale 2 : -> Outlier af

      Sale 3 : 1800 USD, sold in less than 2 hours, yes 2 hours. -> Outlier

      Sale 4 : Total value of the trade, easy 1800 but capped at the B/O. -> Valid

      Sale 5 (mine) : 1900 mixed. -> Valid


      Valable sales for the suggestion are sale 1, 4 and 5 -> 1350, 1800, 1900.


      That's why SpotLight suggested 1350 - 1900 keys.


      Also those antlers were sold in less than a week and none of them will hit the market anytime soon.

      I think 1900 is an outlier here. http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58f25bcd0e2cad57cb3ed272 supports current, if not lower. 2 low sales far closer to 1350 than 1900. Thats 4 sales at or below current, not even including that supportive sale from the last suggestion.


      Im also not sure about druglords sale; multiple items are back-and-forth there

      http://backpack.tf/item/1976021734

      http://backpack.tf/item/1759765762

      http://backpack.tf/item/444930714


      The view, a very prominent part of that sale, is unminiable. Didnt check the rest, but that's going to be an issue here if you were to use that sale. I dont think this is better than current personally

        AfricanDrugLord sold for this:


        C. Heart lucha + C. Heart pencil + C. Heart Rack + C. Heart Viewfinder + C. Heart Sensei + C. Heart Phantom + C. Heart Mancer + C. Heart Boxcar Bomber + C. Heart Tyrannus (slug) + FoD Square Dance + FoD Flippin + Cloud 9 Polar Pullover


        Peterzee confirmed this sale, I added him and he sent me the screenshot of the trade:


        http://prnt.sc/eyp807


        This is far closer to 1900.


        Both of those antlers, are sold in less than 1 week by the way.


        This definetly need a raise, 1350 it's not accurate anymore. None of them are for sell at the moment. Those two last sales, (mine and peterzee) are around ~ 1900.

        Could it be 1800 - 1950? Feels like 1350 is a low outlier. Idk i could be wrong.

          I think a wider range such as this is better. There are sales that support the lower value of 1350ish but also 2-3 sales that support the 1900 value.

          The dream :p

            Just going by current b/os, sale 4 is going to be ~1050 + the hearts view. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28672989 - andrew had the view for a year at a b/o of 650. So let's be real here, the sale value there is probably no more than 1600-1700 or so.


            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197983558864#!/compare/1492300800/1492473600 - and I'm even counting the bomber at 165 which may also very well be too high. Almost every single hat / misc there is severely inflated, including the hearts mancer, hearts pusher and especially the taunts.


            That sale falls right in the middle of the range, so it's not a huge deal. The important sale is going to be the 1900 key one.


            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677#!/compare/1492128000/1492387200

            Bomber will actually be a bit low, bonk and phononaut will be slightly high. It should still comfortably be ~1800-1900. On a hat of this tier, our minis / estimates aren't even good enough to distinguish that "small" difference in value. It's honestly good enough for me here.


            Sales at 1350 (pure), 1600, 1850. Full range is totally reasonable.