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Sale 1.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107044803#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000
Sold with 1 Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher(14.5 Keys(15) and 1 Name Tag for 1 Scorching Flames Elf Esteem and 3 Keys.
Sale value: 59+3-15=47 Keys.
Unusual Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) B/O: 65 Keys(? unclear) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28734087
Sale 2. - Calling this an outlier.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1484265600/1484352000
Sold for 30 Keys.
Sale value: 30 Keys.
Unusual Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return) B/O: 38 Keys - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28717429
I added the seller and asked about the sale but they refused to give me any information for the purposes of protecting the buyer...
1 current seller.
http://i.imgur.com/eEqh33c.png
http://backpack.tf/item/5270082229
Why do you feel the 30 key sale is the outlier and not the 47 sale? Took a week to sell. Was an experienced trader. Most importantly, it was a pure sale. Other sale involves a new, unstable hat.
Scorching Elf Esteem now has a seller at 50 keys.
Elf Esteem (50) + 4 - 54 keys
54 - 14 (Aussie GL) = 40 keys.
It seems like sale 2 was actually 31 keys.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1484265600/1484352000
Either 31 flat or 31-40 but 47 keys flat is definitely going to be high here.