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Counter?
Sold for 140 keys pure:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935#!/compare/1488844800/1488931200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28813510
More recent sale then the other suggestion, buyer is not reselling.
Also the other suggestion sold his within a day of it being tradeable:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28689264
https://backpack.tf/item/5371062294
Can be considered an outlier.
Other sale was involving a ton of new taunts and other icky items. This one is way more straight forward. Upvote on this.