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~18.5 keys
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Unusual Glengarry Bonnet Power Surge
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Power Surge Glengarry Bonnet


New price: 16-21 keys

[proof below]


SALE #1 = 21 keys


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082878780#!/compare/1485043200/1485129600

Sold for an Atomic A Head Full of Hot Air (21)


SALE #2 = 16 keys


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082878780#!/compare/1484697600/1485043200

Sold for 15 keys + 18 ref (0.7) + Strange RL with parts (0.6) = 16.3 keys. Rounding off to 16 keys.


SALE #3 = 17 keys.


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271428863#!/compare/1485129600/1485388800

Sold for 16 keys + taunt and sweets worth about a key together. Sale is 17 keys in total.


SALE #4 = invalid


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215824892#!/compare/1484438400/1485043200

Sold with a Spec KS Australium Black Box (16) for a Disco Beat Down Black Watch (45). 47 – 16 = 29 keys. Looks like an outlier.


Mini for the Disco Beat Down Black Watch =

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260543030#!/compare/1482796800/1483315200

Sold for a Circling Heart Fancy Fedora (55) and 8 keys were added. 55-8 = 47 keys.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28694129

B/O 45


SUMMARY:

Sales: 16 / 17 / 21 / 29

Sellers: 22 (http://backpack.tf/item/1654299336 - traded 1 hour ago (for 17 keys))


These 4 sales are the only sales that were made in the last 3 months. The sale at 29 looks like a clear outlier to me. The other sales were at 21 or below. The sale at 16 is not a quicksell in my opinion since it took him 5 days while advertising in trade servers a lot.

Going with 16-21 keys as a range.