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~39.5 keys
p.fetti
Unusual Patriot Peak Purple Confetti
52 votes up
30 votes down
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Purple Confetti Patriot Peak

downvote because price manipulation


New price = 75-100

[proof below]


SALE #1 = 100 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142517199#!/compare/1482537600/1482969600

Sold for a StarStorm Slumber Cotton Hat = 100 keys (suggestion for this got accepted I think 1 week ago)


SALE #2 = 75 keys


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131566817#!/compare/1482019200/1482192000

Sold for a Neutron Star Crone Dome (200) with a Bubbling Hat of Cards (20) + Misty Skull Hat Without a Home (40) + Subatomic Universal Translator (40).


Mini for Bubbling HoC = 20

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272295765#!/compare/1482969600/1483660800

Sold with around 5 keys in items for a Cloud 9 Belgian Detective. I think it’s fair to estimate this mini at 20 keys.


Mini for Misty Skull HWM = 40

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131566817#!/compare/1482710400/1483228800

Sold for a Cloudy Moon Jumper’s Jeepcap. 1 seller at 40, 2 sellers at 45. Since the hat is duped I think it’s fine to take this for 40


Mini for the Subatomic Universal Translator (no mini required, just explaining given range)

http://imgur.com/a/Dh1jN

Bunch of sellers at 40 or below. So instead of 45, I’ll go with 40.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28644559

Seller B/O was 75. Capping sale at 75.


SALE #3 = Invalid


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1478217600/1478476800

1:1 Tesla Coil Industralizer (current suggestion at 30) = big outlier.


SELLERS:

http://imgur.com/a/hpdhl

http://backpack.tf/item/4569760507 - 75 keys (very young)

http://backpack.tf/item/4629327414 - 80

http://backpack.tf/item/4450814577 - 80 keys


SUMMARY:

Sales = 75 / 100

Sellers = 75 / 80 / 80


Well that seems like an obvious range. Going with 75-100 here. Sellers are supporting the range.

    um, the person you bought it from had a b/o of 80. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28685668


    Also, sale 2 is bulk and therefor unusable.


    So that leaves us with 1 sale for a unstably priced new hat. This is going to need more sales for sure.

      Well the b/o of the person I bought it from isn't really relevant since it's an invalid sale (used it to price the Mega Strike Square Dance for 90 keys). And the second sale, 'unstably priced hat', got accepted a few days ago. I mean, I'd understand if it were a new effect that's very close to outdated but this got accepted very recently.


      The bulk sale only contains 4:1 and the outcome looks valid (75 keys, fits this hat/price). The 75 low end is also supported by the seller at 75.

      I'll leave this open for now and see how the mods feel about this.

        My bad, I thought you paid the cotton head, so your right the b/o isn't applicable there. This all said, its seems suspect to set a high end of this with such an unstably valued item as the cotton head; - just because it recently got accepted doesn't mean its a stable price; in fact most new hats will shift substantially lower when the next suggestion comes out on it, and it was until very recently, unpriced. On top of all of that you have 3 sellers (including yourself) that counter the 100 sale by selling at 20 keys less, making it a high outlier.


        Bulk sales are NEVER usable, so you cant that sale, even if it "seems" plausible. No, just no.


        so again, that leaves us with 1 sale that is priced of an unstable item that is basically a high outlier due to common b/os for less. Again, you basically have no sales here, id just close this. The mods wont like this one bit lol

      voted up. Nice Job! :D