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seller @2.55 (seller is poorly bumped, and is also selling on bp.tf classifieds for 2.66 at the same time, and decided not to include that in the range)
sellers @2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26756686
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26756316
seller @3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26667845
sold @3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26428849
sellers on classifieds
https://gyazo.com/870b797e950c0efc4a1f5a756556623b
1 outlier at 2.44
5 at 2.66
2 at 3
Sale looks too old to use, IIRC for regular items/hats it's a limit of 2 weeks.
http://backpack.tf/item/3797670131
well the sale still happened after the most recent price change so I thought it would be valid ;-;