Price Suggestion
~5.15 keys
Strange Eliminator's Safeguard
209 votes up
227 votes down
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This suggestion was marked as bad evidence and closed by neverclever.

There should always be enough evidence to back up the new proposed value. However, it appears that the evidence is not strong enough, or cherry-picked in a way that does not represent the actual market value of the item. Therefore, this suggestion has been closed.

Message left by moderator:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21318687 unsold 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21259826 bp.tf price, not sure how quickly it sold.


It seems like this does need a raise, but as others have pointed out it is hard to tell if your sale is an outlier or not.


This is fairly rare, but without more evidence this is too large a jump

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Comments

Because I'm trying to price manip.


Sold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21126154 - My own trade, 2 keys, http://puu.sh/abMo7/5b0e5f2a35.png

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19645627 - Wants 2 keys, getting adds. 'Special lvl'

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21148674 - Unbumped, offer of 2 keys.


Buyers (nope.avi's)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20988675 - 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21011087 - 6 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19314705 - 4.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21194749 - 6 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19528827 - 5.66


Others

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21219962 - 1 key 4 ref (Painted)

Secret sales, more proof, advice. Anything you want. I just thought I'd start updating my items.

    2nd link is lvl 69


    3rd link is unbumped.


    I think you need more proof.

      3rd link has an offer for the suggested value, so I don't understand why it matters that its unbumped

        Already mentioned about the level and bump. It would be welcoming to get proof. Most of them are just hidden in backpacks for keeps.

          When its a special level, people are most likely to offer more.


          And without someone bumping a trade, hes never on the website, and will never get a sell off that 2 key offer.

            @Special level: Better to provide all trades then minimal amounts.

            @Bump: Fact that someone is offering and willing to do 2 keys proves a raise in price.

      What should be noted is the obvious rarity of this item - these stranges are generally kept, very rarely traded, and proof is generally scarce. One valid sold and an offer is still a very tiny amount of proof...


      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21219962 - Selling @ ~1.5 keys, painted


      This kinda screams out "hey, I'm worth more than the original and still not selling for lower the suggested new price!" Perhaps a range of 1 - 2 keys would work better?


      Also, here's some SCM proof (merely backup proof but I hope this helps out). These are the solds over the past week:

      $3.42

      $3.37 x3

      $3.41

      $3.42

      $3.40

      $3.37

      $5.43

      $2.96

      $3.44


      This all adds to $38.96.


      38.96 / 11 = $3.54


      $3.54 / 2.49 = ~1.4 keys.


      With everything you've got here, you've shown 2 keys is possible, 1 key must be possible if 2 keys is (but no one sells at that price) and there's no way to prove it's a quicksale... I'd highly re-suggest a range of 1-2 keys.

        I feel like 1 key is indeed a quicksell, but maybe not. I may be completely wrong.


        Enough speculation, thanks for providing explanations/SCM. What we could do is wait for someone to come up with a 1 key sale or wait for a new one. Thank you!

        link 1: yours

        link 2: lvl 69

        link 2: not sold


        Your highest buyer is the LOWER end of the range. Proving few people are willing to pay 2 keys.

        Downvote.

          the 3rd link is a guy willing to pay 2 keys. And if he sold one for 2 keys, doesnt that mean that somebody was willing to pay that?

          Sold

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21126154 - My own trade, 2 keys, http://puu.sh/abMo7/5b0e5f2a35.png - Your trade, sketchy

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19645627 - Wants 2 keys, getting adds. 'Special lvl' - Still in BP, has not yet sold

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21148674 - Unbumped, offer of 2 keys.- Invalid offer, the guy only has one key in his bp. Also has not yet sold


          Buyers (nope.avi's)

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20988675 - 1 key - Low end of current range

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21011087 - 6 ref - Quickbuyer

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19314705 - 4.66 - Hilarious

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21194749 - 6 ref - Quickbuyer

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19528827 - 5.66 - More quickbuying


          Others

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21219962 - 1 key 4 ref (Painted) - Rule of thumb for selling painted items, +1/2 paint value (in this case, 4.22 refined)


          Verdict: The only sold is your own

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21259826 - 'bp.tf' price, let's see where it goes.

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20988675 I am pretty sure he sold it if you look at the comment and the buyers are just low ballers :| might be the reason why they have not bought one yet

              I dunno. I don't see any trace of the eliminator's from the before person and the buyer. I gotta stay neutral on that.

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20988675 If you check is bp he still has it :|

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21259826 - Sold @ bp.tf current price

                http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Eliminators%20Safeguard&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1 only 2 period at 2 key each

                http://bazaar.tf/trade/913122 2 key

                http://bazaar.tf/trade/755338 1.3 key @ 2 months unsold

                http://bazaar.tf/trade/782492 1 key @ a month unsold

                http://bazaar.tf/trade/755278 2 keys @3 months unsold

                http://bazaar.tf/trade/908967 @ current price @4 days unsold

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19645627 2 keys offers made but lowballed

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21345822 1.1 keys

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21126154 sold 1 @2 key selling another

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21259826 current price trade was completed not sure for what item


                sorry mate but i have to say i dont think this needs a raise, your sale is the ONLY shady outlier