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Hello there! Going for a rise this time...
Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15002094 --> 2x sold for 2 ref (bought by different persons)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15903528 --> 2x sold for 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14749954 --> Sold for 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15395280 --> 6x sold for 2 ref eatch
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15290752 --> 2x sold for 2 ref eatch
All current backpack.tf classifieds are listed for 2 ref or more.
Together, 13 buyers for the price of 2 ref. I might have missed something (outdated prices for example), if you find any other proof tell me in the comment section please.
Most of your proofs are 1 month old , stayin' neutral for now.
imo, paint shops as proof alone is not enough proof since they constantly change their prices. can't tell when was the last time they sold and for what value. you'll need more trades or proof that these are actually selling for 2 ref in the last week.
Only "seller at 1.66" doesn't have any in stock. It's tough to get it for 1.66. And seems to just as occasionally sell for 2.33. 2 flat seems the most commonly traded price