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Selling/Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12533628 - Selling for 1 key + 3 ref (2 added posts)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12541302 - Bought 5 buds for 16 random keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12786970 - Selling for key + 2 ref each (Sold an aqua key, a blue key and 2 black keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12785624 - 2:3, sold none so far.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12788609 - 1 key + 2 ref each (Sold one aqua, one brown and and unknown amount of keys of unknown colors to 2 other people.)
each (Sold Green and 2 Yellow keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12697202 - 1 key + 2 ref each (Out of stock of Brown and Aqua (sold at least 5-6), 2 green and 4 blue in stock.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12591665 - 1:2, 2:3 (and several other equivalent amounts, sold a few apparently.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12715663 - Selling 1 key + 3 ref each (Out of stock: Red, Aqua, Yellow, Green and Brown.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12800725 - All colors, 1 key and 2 ref each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12698348 - Sold a blue one for 1 key + 1 ref (not in his bp anymore, http://puu.sh/3FwVE.png )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12606444 - Sold many of all colors at various prices. (Blue ~6.44)
Buying
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12607118 - Bought 9 at 1 key + 0.33 each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12600231 - Buying 1 key + 0.33 each, bought 1 (orange?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12777277 - Sold buds for 20 random keys (buds being at 23 keys, each is ~1.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12534907 - Paying key + 0.33 each, 3 added posts (1 red)
Steam Community Market
Blue - http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Blue%20Summer%202013%20Cooler%20Key
Median sales of all color keys is $2.20 (~1.2 keys)
Note: Trades with ambiguous colors of keys are included in all of the suggestions. Buyers @ 1 key have got nothing (thus are not included). 1.1 range is supported by the buyers at around key and 0.66 and the community market (keys being at ~$1.80). People asking for 1.7+ keys can't get their keys sold either, so that's off the range.