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Unique Hat of Undeniable Wealth And Respect
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Resubmitting a range of 13-13.5 becuase I think this is a more accurate range.


Only one recent sale, but with 5 in existance, that's pretty good.

http://i.imgur.com/MrmSRlt.png


13 Spectrum Spectral spells + O fire Regg + Smoking Yellow Belt + 3 keys + Gift wrap

(13*20*.9+23+30*.9+23*.9+4)/23 = 13.4 buds If accounting for expected item overpay


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11373443 - No notable offers.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9553611 - sold trade for 13 pure buds, 1 month ago.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10030852 -

Best offer but not taken: Spectrum houwar + orb fire snaggle + 1 bud + #54 doe boy ~estimated at 14 buds (12 + 1.1*.9 + 1 + .2)

11.5 + .5 (paint) = 12 + 1 + 1 + .1-2 = 14.1-14.2 x .95 (mixed offer, and I can almost guarantee that a HOUWAR with that sort of paint is very difficult to sell) = 13.39-13.49, or 13.4-13.5 buds


Conclusion

Offers of 13.5, a sale of 13.5, and a sale at 13 means a range of 13-13.5 in my opinion. I personally have no clue whether the mods prefer this or the other suggestion, but I think this is more accurate.

    HOUWAR shouldn't be taken off for overpay in my opinion, it is considered pure as far as I am concerned.


    Also, a .5 bud range on an item so expensive seems silly, a full bud range would be better.

      I multiplied the offer by .95, or 95% to account for it being a mixed offer, because I think that a HOUWAR with spectrum paint would be a difficult to sell commodity. Of course, I'm putting this out there to see what the mods say, I think this is a more accurate range but it's solely personal opinion.

        ^ yep 13-14 is way better

        and i disgree with your way off calculating overpay..

        EDIT BECAUSE I CAN'T EDIT ABOVE: I find that it doesn't matter anymore considering the offer in question (the one I value at 13.5 and the one that the other suggestion values at 14) is both 1 month old (potentially too old) and retracted. I don't think we can use that as proof and thus, a range of 13-13.5 shows the recent sales for this item.

          The reason it is retracted is because he bought the one. Look at who's name is on the trade history, then look at who made the offer. One month isn't too old either.

          A normal clean houwar can fetch 12 pure, even more with the paint. Some would value them even at 12.5 so I think 12 is fair enough.


          Edit: Doesn't really matter though since the guy bought a houwar with the spells now.

            So lets say he would sell all spells at 19 keys, below the market value then you get 13.9 buds. If you take their actual value 20.5 keys *0.9 you get 13.7 buds. That's why I accept the other suggestion.